SPATIAL PREDICTIONS OF LAND USE CHANGES IN TEXCOCO, ESTADO DE MEXICO STATE

Authors

  • Ramiro Pérez-Miranda Centro de Investigación Disciplinaria en Conservación y Mejoramiento de Ecosistemas Forestales. (CENID-COMEF) INIFAP
  • J. René Valdez Lazalde Programa Forestal, Colegio de Postgraduados
  • Francisco Moreno Sánchez Centro de Investigación Disciplinaria en Conservación y Mejoramiento de Ecosistemas Forestales. (CENID-COMEF) INIFAP
  • Antonio González Hernández Centro de Investigación Disciplinaria en Conservación y Mejoramiento de Ecosistemas Forestales. (CENID-COMEF) INIFAP
  • Juan I. Valdez Hernández Programa Forestal, Colegio de Postgraduados

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29298/rmcf.v2i5.586

Keywords:

Multicriteria analysis, cellular automata, Markov chains, urban growth, GIS, land use

Abstract

The study of the dynamics of land use allows to study the use, handling and use man makes of nature, and allows the prediction of the tendency for making appropriate decisions for the occupation of the territory. The methodology was to detect changes in land use by analyzing aerial photographs and satellite images from 1993 and 2004. Subsequently appealed to concepts and techniques of spatial multicriteria evaluation, fuzzy logic, cellular automata and Markov chains to model the use change scenario for 2014. The outcomes identified for the period 1993-2004 indicate an increase in the use urban extension 173 has, a miner of 92 ha, water bodies of 3 ha and a decrease in agricultural use of 182 ha, 64 ha grassland induced, forest 14 ha, 7 ha reforestation and natural grassland of 1 ha. The projection for 2014 show increases in 154 ha urban, mining and natural pasture 81 ha 13 ha, the uses are agriculture would be reduced 165 ha, 56 ha induced grassland, forest 23 ha, and reforestation 6 ha. Urban and mining applications grow on agricultural uses, induced grassland, and to a lesser extent, into the forest and reforestation. Urban use is growing at an annual rate of 15.7 ha and 15 ha in the first period and projected, respectively.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Downloads

Published

2019-05-28

How to Cite

Pérez-Miranda Ramiro, Valdez Lazalde J. René, Moreno Sánchez Francisco, González Hernández Antonio, and Valdez Hernández Juan I. 2019. “SPATIAL PREDICTIONS OF LAND USE CHANGES IN TEXCOCO, ESTADO DE MEXICO STATE”. Revista Mexicana De Ciencias Forestales 2 (5). México, ME:59-72. https://doi.org/10.29298/rmcf.v2i5.586.

Issue

Vol. 2 No. 5 (2011)

Section

Scientific article

License

The authors who publish in Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Forestales accept the following conditions:

In accordance with copyright laws, Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Forestales recognizes and respects the authors’ moral right and ownership of property rights which will be transferred to the journal for dissemination in open access.

All the texts published by Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Forestales –with no exception– are distributed under a Creative Commons License Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0), which allows third parties to use the publication as long as the work’s authorship and its first publication in this journal are mentioned

The author(s) can enter into independent and additional contractual agreements for the nonexclusive distribution of the version of the article published in Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Forestales (for example, include it into an institutional repository or publish it in a book) as long as it is clearly and explicitly indicated that the work was published for the first time in Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Forestales.

For all the above, the authors shall send the form of Letter-transfer of Property Rights for the first publication duly filled in and signed by the author(s). This form must be sent as a PDF file to: ciencia.forestal2@inifap.gob.mx

 

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial 4.0 International license.